...and how can we afford the up-front cost in the next 20 years.
> FYI
> EV Basics – Basic Physics vs. Promotional Claims!
> Money, money, money makes the world go round.
> Perhaps, a simpler way to express this is Fact vs.
> Fiction!
> This month, we look at some of the claims by EV manufacturers
> to identify which ones are realistic and which ones raise
> questions. These are claims regarding range, cost per mile, and
> time to recharge. These are the major concerns by the EV
> consumer.
> Next month, we will look at the engineering required to size a
> motor for on-road applications. How does rolling resistance,
> aerodynamic drag, hill climbing, and acceleration affect the
> motor hp? Why is higher voltage better?
> We recently have seen many claims by EV companies that are
> looking for customers. For example, the Chevy Volt claims 230
> mpg. Since it gets 40 miles on a charge without any gasoline,
> couldn't it get 1000 miles (25 charges) with no gasoline? GM also
> claims that it will go 40 miles on about 8 Kw-hr of electricity.
> That is 5 miles/ Kw-hr; which is twice the typical EV conversion.
> Most EV conversions get about 2-3 miles/ kw-hr, so I question
> the 5 miles/ kw-hr. It is achievable - but probably not at highway
> speeds or in stop and go traffic.
> This month, I received a promotional email on the Tesla sedan
> for 7 people that made strong claims:
> 300 mile range
> $4 for a charge (300 miles)
> 45 minute recharge
> http://www.teslamotors.com/models/index.php
> In my 22 years in the EV business, there have been many
> exaggerated claims in order for companies to obtain investors
> as well as customers. To validate if a claim is reasonable, an
> individual needs to understand EV Basics.
> To obtain a 300 mile range, a typical EV conversion would
> require 100-150 Kw-hr battery pack. Most EVs carry 15-25 KW-
> hrs lead acid battery packs weighing 800 -1400 lbs. So a 100 KW
> hr battery pack would weigh 5600 lbs! Which is consistent with
> our claims that it takes 15-20 lbs of lead to get 1 mile in range.
> Lithium batteries are about 1/3 the weight of lead acid. So that
> would mean ~1900 lbs of lithium batteries. But if we assume that
> the Tesla also gets 5 miles/ kw-hr (same as Chevy Volt) then you
> have ~1000 lbs of lithium batteries. Check this against the
> specifications on the Tesla website. So our conclusion is (1) that
> the Tesla will require about 1000 lbs of Li batteries and approximately 60
> kw-hrs of energy (300 miles/ 5 miles/ kw-hr).
> The average cost of electricity in the U.S. is 12 cents/ kw-hr.
> Ref: http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/electricity/epm/table5_6_a.html
> So 60 kw-hr x $0.12 = $7.20
> This is almost twice the $4 charge claimed by Tesla. In order to
> achieve the $4, Tesla has to achieve 9 miles/ kw-hr which is
> almost twice as efficient as the Chevy Volt and almost 4X the
> efficiency of a conversion. Or they had to assume 7 cents/ kw-hr.
> So this claim is questionable.
> Now we get to the 45 minute recharge. Most EVs require 8 hours
> to recharge using a 230VAC power supply and 20 kw-hr battery
> pack. Let's go back to our assumption of 5 miles/ kw-hr yielding
> a 60 kw-hr battery pack. The problem becomes how fast can we
> recharge a 60-kw-hr battery pack.
> A 115VAC circuit typically is 15 amps, so that is 1725 watts.
> Even if we assumed 2000 watts or 2 Kw, it would take 30 hrs to
> charge the 60 Kw-hr battery pack.
> If we assume a 230VAC and 30 amps, that is 6900 watts or ~
> 7Kw. That is 8.5 hours to charge the 60 kw-hr. Not even close
> to 45 minutes.
> Let's work backwards. 60 Kw-hrs/ 0.75
> hrs (45min) = 80 Kw of
> charge. That is 80,000 watts. If we assume a 480VAC circuit that
> is 166 amps.
> The Tesla Roadster with a smaller battery pack requires 3.5 hrs to
> charge completely. So you really do have to question how they
> are able to claim 45 minutes.
> The Nissan Leaf makes very realistic claims: 100 miles/ charge
> and 4-8 hrs recharge (230VAC).
> http://www.nissanusa.com/leaf-electric-car/?dcp=ppn.39666654.&dcc=0.2...
> So the Nissan Leaf goes 100 miles and requires 4-8 hrs to
> recharge; the Tesla goes 300 miles and can be recharged in
> 45 minutes. There does seem to be a question.
> Next month, I will discuss the basic engineering associated with
> identifying the hp required for an EV. Meanwhile, question
> everyone - including me, by simply asking for the engineering to
> back up their claims.
> Full article:
> http://us.mc657.mail.yahoo.com/mc/welcome?action=&YY=927331124&YY=224...